The lesson in full
Before lending to a country or a company, investors ask one question: will we get paid back? Credit ratings give a quick answer, and they shape what borrowers pay.
The big three agencies are S&P Global, Moody's and Fitch. Grades run from AAA (safest) to D (in default). BBB- and above (Baa3 at Moody's) is investment grade; below is high yield, or "junk".
Lower rating, more risk, higher yield. Lenders want extra interest from riskier borrowers, so a downgrade usually makes borrowing more expensive.
In May 2017, S&P raised Indonesia to BBB-, investment grade. More global funds could then buy its government bonds, which can help lower its borrowing costs.
Even the US lost its top grade: S&P cut it to AA+ in August 2011, Fitch did the same in August 2023 and Moody's cut it to Aa1 in May 2025.
- Common mistake
Myth: "AAA means no risk." Before 2008, many mortgage bonds were rated AAA, then crashed in value when US home prices fell. Ratings are opinions, and they can be wrong.
- Key takeaway
A credit rating is an opinion on repayment risk. Lower rating, higher interest. Useful, but never a guarantee.
Quick check
- The top credit rating is... AAAAAA is the highest grade. D means the borrower is already in default.
- Bonds rated below BBB- are called... High yield or junkBBB- (Baa3 at Moody's) is the lowest investment grade. Anything below is high yield, also called junk.
- A lower rating usually means... Paying a higher interest rateRiskier borrowers must offer more interest to persuade lenders to take the risk.
- What did S&P, Fitch and Moody's each do to the US rating between 2011 and 2025? Cut it below AAAS&P in 2011, Fitch in 2023 and Moody's in 2025 each moved the US one step below their top grade.
Words in this lesson
Inside the Financial Industry
- How banks make money
- How an exchange works
- Market makers and brokers
- Investment banks
- Fund managers
- Hedge funds
- Credit ratings