Bull and bear markets
Investing Basics

Bull and bear markets

7 cards and 4 quick questions. About 2 min.

The lesson in full

  1. You'll hear it on the news: "stocks enter a bear market". Bull and bear are names for the market's big moods: rising for a long time, or falling hard.

  2. A bear market is a fall of 20% or more from a recent high. A bull market is a long rise, often counted from a 20% gain off a low.

  3. S&P 500, 2007 to 2013 (monthly averages). From October 2007 to March 2009 it fell about 57% from top to bottom. It only got back above the old high in 2013.

  4. In 2020 the S&P 500 fell about 34% in five weeks, from 19 February to 23 March. By August it was at a new high. Some bears are short and sharp.

  5. On average, bulls last much longer. In the US, bull markets have usually run for several years, bear markets about a year or less. The bull market from 2009 to 2020 lasted about 11 years.

  6. Common mistake

    Myth: "Sell everything when a bear market starts." Nobody can call the bottom, and some of the best days come in the middle of bear markets. Many long-term investors keep investing through them.

  7. Key takeaway

    Bull: up 20% or more from a low. Bear: down 20% or more from a high. Bears hurt, but historically bulls have lasted much longer.

Quick check

  1. A bear market is a fall of at least... 20% from a highThe common definition is a drop of 20% or more from a recent peak.
  2. Historically, US bull markets have usually lasted... Longer than bear marketsBull markets have usually run for years, while bear markets tend to last about a year or less.
  3. In 2020 the S&P 500 fell about 34%, then... Hit a new high within monthsIt bottomed on 23 March 2020 and was back at a record high by August.
  4. An index falls from 5,000 to 3,900. Is that a bear market? Yes, it fell 22%The drop is 1,100 points, and 1,100 divided by 5,000 is 22%, past the 20% line.

Words in this lesson

Investing Basics

  1. Investing or trading?
  2. Compounding: growth on growth
  3. Time in the market
  4. Indexes and ETFs
  5. Mutual funds
  6. Fees and costs add up
  7. Don't put all your eggs in one basket
  8. Building a simple portfolio
  9. Rebalancing your mix
  10. Bull and bear markets
  11. Dividend investing
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