The lesson in full
Sanctions are penalties one country, or a group, puts on another: trade bans, frozen bank accounts, limits on what can be bought or sold.
After Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, Western countries froze about US$300 billion of Russia's central bank reserves and cut major Russian banks off the SWIFT payment network.
They also limited Russian oil sales: the EU banned most seaborne imports, and the G7 capped the price at US$60 a barrel (later lowered by some countries).
Sanctioned goods usually find other buyers. Russian oil flowed to India, China and Turkey instead, but often at a discount.
Ripple effects: Russia and Ukraine supplied close to a third of world wheat exports. In March 2022 wheat hit a record price, raising the cost of bread and noodles far away.
- Common mistake
Mistake: thinking sanctions far away don't touch you. They travel through fuel, food and fertiliser prices, and through your currency if your country imports a lot.
- Key takeaway
Sanctions on a big exporter can push world prices up. Distant countries feel it in fuel and food.
Quick check
- Sanctions are... Penalties placed on a countryThey include trade bans, frozen assets and payment restrictions.
- Sanctions on a big oil exporter can make world oil prices... RiseLess supply reaching the market, or fear of it, pushes prices up.
- How can distant countries feel sanctions? Through fuel and food pricesCommodities are priced globally, so a shortage anywhere raises prices everywhere.
- Where did much of Russia's oil go after Western sanctions? To India, China and Turkey, at a discountSanctioned goods often find new buyers, but more slowly and more cheaply.
Geopolitics
- Wars and oil prices
- Energy shocks
- Sanctions and markets
- Elections and markets
- Shipping routes that move prices
- Tariffs and trade wars
- Pandemics and markets