Breakouts and fakeouts
Reading Charts

Breakouts and fakeouts

7 cards and 4 quick questions. About 2 min.

The lesson in full

  1. Price smashes through a level everyone is watching. Breakout! Or is it? Some of the most painful trades start exactly here.

  2. A breakout is when price closes clearly beyond support or resistance and keeps going. It can start a big new move.

  3. A fakeout is a breakout that quickly reverses back inside the range, trapping everyone who jumped in.

  4. Filter 1: wait for a candle to close beyond the level, not just poke through with a wick. Higher timeframes give fewer false signals.

  5. Filter 2: check volume. Real breakouts usually come with more trading than normal. A breakout on thin volume is easier to fake.

  6. Common mistake

    Mistake: buying the first touch of a level in excitement, with no stop. If it's a fakeout, you're stuck hoping.

  7. Key takeaway

    Wait for the close, check the volume, and always place a stop loss in case it's a fakeout.

Quick check

  1. A fakeout is... A breakout that quickly reversesPrice pokes beyond the level, then falls back inside the range.
  2. Breakouts are more trustworthy with... Strong volumeMany traders backing the move makes it harder to reverse.
  3. A good way to filter fakeouts is to... Wait for a close beyond the levelA wick can poke through; a close shows price held beyond the level.
  4. Price pokes above resistance with a long wick, then closes back below. That looks like... A possible fakeoutPrice couldn't hold above the level by the close: a classic warning sign.

Words in this lesson

Reading Charts

  1. What is a candle, really?
  2. Line, bar and candle charts
  3. Trends: the walk of price
  4. Floors and ceilings
  5. Breakouts and fakeouts
  6. Timeframes: zoom in, zoom out
  7. Three candle patterns worth knowing
  8. Moving averages
  9. Momentum and the RSI
  10. Volume: how many voted
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