The lesson in full
Charts are noisy. A moving average (MA) smooths them: it's the average closing price of the last few candles, drawn as a line.
A 20-day MA adds up the last 20 daily closes and divides by 20. Tomorrow the oldest day drops out and the newest joins. That's why it “moves”.
Price above a rising MA suggests an uptrend. Price below a falling MA suggests a downtrend. Price weaving around a flat MA: no clear trend.
Fast vs slow: a 20-period MA hugs price and reacts quickly. A 200-period MA moves slowly and shows the long-term direction.
When the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day, traders call it a golden cross. The opposite is a death cross. Headlines love them.
- Common mistake
Mistake: expecting an MA to predict turns. It's built from past prices, so it always lags. It confirms trends; it doesn't call tops or bottoms.
- Key takeaway
A moving average is a smoothing tool: use it to see the direction, not to predict the future.
Quick check
- A 20-day moving average is... The average of the last 20 daily closesAdd the last 20 closing prices, divide by 20, and redraw it every day.
- Price is above a rising average. That suggests... An uptrendRecent prices are above the average and the average itself is climbing.
- The main weakness of moving averages is that they... Lag behind priceThey're built from past closes, so they react after price has already moved.
- Which reacts faster to new prices? A 20-period MAFewer candles in the average means each new price has a bigger effect.
Words in this lesson
Reading Charts
- What is a candle, really?
- Line, bar and candle charts
- Trends: the walk of price
- Floors and ceilings
- Breakouts and fakeouts
- Timeframes: zoom in, zoom out
- Three candle patterns worth knowing
- Moving averages
- Momentum and the RSI
- Volume: how many voted